[Dave Birch] Fascinating evening debating the future of money with the members of the Real Time Club. I had a great time, was kept on my toes and forced to think hard and fast by Malcolm Cooper and the assembled throng. I certainly learned that in future I have to think things through a little better, but it is enjoyable being challenged in this kind of informed forum.
My general point was that in the great scheme of things, we are due a change. Once the industrial revolution got under way, the old monetary order of bimetallism was swept away and was replaced by fiat currency, paper and bank credit. As this happened, the unit of account, means of exchange and store of value began to separate. Now that the post-industrial revolution is underway, we will surely see a transition of a similar nature.
Malcolm suggested, taking an even longer sweep of history, that it may actually be currency that is the aberration and that in the future we may return to a form of barter, albeit a turbocharged, computer-mediated barter. This is a subject I’ve touched on before.
What might the far future really look like? It’s hard to say, except that it won’t be like the past. There won’t, probably, be widespread barter for example despite the ability of networks to reduce the associated transaction costs.
[From Digital Money: A single currency? Illogical, Captain!]
Nevertheless, his point that we mustn’t assume that the current monetary arrangement is a law of nature and will continue indefinitely was well-made and thought-provoking.
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